Polygenic scores for cardiovascular risk factors improve estimation of clinical outcomes in CCB treatment compared to pharmacogenetic variants alone.

Pharmacogenetic variants are associated with clinical outcomes during Calcium Channel Blocker (CCB) treatment, yet whether the effects are modified by genetically predicted clinical risk factors is unknown. We analyzed 32,000 UK Biobank participants treated with dihydropiridine CCBs (mean 5.9 years), including 23 pharmacogenetic variants, and calculated polygenic scores for systolic and diastolic blood pressures, body fat mass, and other patient characteristics. Outcomes included treatment discontinuation and heart failure. Pharmacogenetic variant rs10898815-A (NUMA1) increased discontinuation rates, highest in those with high polygenic scores for fat mass. The RYR3 variant rs877087 T-allele alone modestly increased heart failure risks versus non-carriers (HR:1.13, p = 0.02); in patients with high polygenic scores for fat mass, lean mass, and lipoprotein A, risks were substantially elevated (HR:1.55, p = 4 × 10-5). Incorporating polygenic scores for adiposity and lipoprotein A may improve risk estimates of key clinical outcomes in CCB treatment such as treatment discontinuation and heart failure, compared to pharmacogenetic variants alone.

HFE genotypes, haemochromatosis diagnosis and clinical outcomes at age 80 years: a prospective cohort study in the UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVES: HFE haemochromatosis genetic variants have an uncertain clinical penetrance, especially to older ages and in undiagnosed groups. We estimated p.C282Y and p.H63D variant cumulative incidence of multiple clinical outcomes in a large community cohort. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: 22 assessment centres across England, Scotland, and Wales in the UK Biobank (2006-2010). PARTICIPANTS: 451 270 participants genetically similar to the 1000 Genomes European reference population, with a mean of 13.3-year follow-up through hospital inpatient, cancer registries and death certificate data. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cox proportional HRs of incident clinical outcomes and mortality in those with HFE p.C282Y/p.H63D mutations compared with those with no variants, stratified by sex and adjusted for age, assessment centre and genetic stratification. Cumulative incidences were estimated from age 40 years to 80 years. RESULTS: 12.1% of p.C282Y+/+ males had baseline (mean age 57 years) haemochromatosis diagnoses, with a cumulative incidence of 56.4% at age 80 years. 33.1% died vs 25.4% without HFE variants (HR 1.29, 95% CI: 1.12 to 1.48, p=4.7×10-4); 27.9% vs 17.1% had joint replacements, 20.3% vs 8.3% had liver disease, and there were excess delirium, dementia, and Parkinson's disease but not depression. Associations, including excess mortality, were similar in the group undiagnosed with haemochromatosis. 3.4% of women with p.C282Y+/+ had baseline haemochromatosis diagnoses, with a cumulative incidence of 40.5% at age 80 years. There were excess incident liver disease (8.9% vs 6.8%; HR 1.62, 95% CI: 1.27 to 2.05, p=7.8×10-5), joint replacements and delirium, with similar results in the undiagnosed. p.C282Y/p.H63D and p.H63D+/+ men or women had no statistically significant excess fatigue or depression at baseline and no excess incident outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Male and female p.C282Y homozygotes experienced greater excess morbidity than previously documented, including those undiagnosed with haemochromatosis in the community. As haemochromatosis diagnosis rates were low at baseline despite treatment being considered effective, trials of screening to identify people with p.C282Y homozygosity early appear justified.

Iron and risk of dementia: Mendelian randomisation analysis in UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Brain iron deposition is common in dementia, but whether serum iron is a causal risk factor is unknown. We aimed to determine whether genetic predisposition to higher serum iron status biomarkers increased risk of dementia and atrophy of grey matter. METHODS: We analysed UK Biobank participants clustered into European (N=451284), African (N=7477) and South Asian (N=9570) groups by genetic similarity to the 1000 genomes project. Using Mendelian randomisation methods, we estimated the association between genetically predicted serum iron (transferrin saturation [TSAT] and ferritin), grey matter volume and genetic liability to clinically defined dementia (including Alzheimer's disease [AD], non-AD dementia, and vascular dementia) from hospital and primary care records. We also performed time-to-event (competing risks) analysis of the TSAT polygenic score on risk of clinically defined non-AD dementia. RESULTS: In Europeans, higher genetically predicted TSAT increased genetic liability to dementia (Odds Ratio [OR]: 1.15, 95% Confidence Intervals [CI] 1.04 to 1.26, p=0.0051), non-AD dementia (OR: 1.27, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.45, p=0.00018) and vascular dementia (OR: 1.37, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.69, p=0.0023), but not AD (OR: 1.00, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.15, p=0.97). Higher TSAT was also associated with increased risk of non-AD dementia in participants of African, but not South Asian groups. In survival analysis using a TSAT polygenic score, the effect was independent of apolipoprotein-E ε4 genotype (with adjustment subdistribution Hazard Ratio: 1.74, 95% CI 1.33 to 2.28, p=0.00006). Genetically predicted TSAT was associated with lower grey matter volume in caudate, putamen and thalamus, and not in other areas of interest. DISCUSSION: Genetic evidence supports a causal relationship between higher TSAT and risk of clinically defined non-AD and vascular dementia, in European and African groups. This association appears to be independent of apolipoprotein-E ε4.

Proteomic aging clock (PAC) predicts age-related outcomes in middle-aged and older adults.

Beyond mere prognostication, optimal biomarkers of aging provide insights into qualitative and quantitative features of biological aging and might, therefore, offer useful information for the testing and, ultimately, clinical use of gerotherapeutics. We aimed to develop a proteomic aging clock (PAC) for all-cause mortality risk as a proxy of biological age. Data were from the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, including 53,021 participants aged between 39 and 70 years and 2,923 plasma proteins assessed using the Olink Explore 3072 assay®. The Spearman correlation between PAC proteomic age and chronological age was 0.77. A total of 10.9% of the participants died during a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, with the mean age at death 70.1 years. We developed a proteomic aging clock (PAC) for all-cause mortality risk as a surrogate of BA using a combination of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) penalized Cox regression and Gompertz proportional hazards models. PAC showed robust age-adjusted associations and predictions for all-cause mortality and the onset of various diseases in general and disease-free participants. The proteins associated with PAC were enriched in several processes related to the hallmarks of biological aging. Our results expand previous findings by showing that age acceleration, based on PAC, strongly predicts all-cause mortality and several incident disease outcomes. Particularly, it facilitates the evaluation of risk for multiple conditions in a disease-free population, thereby, contributing to the prevention of initial diseases, which vary among individuals and may subsequently lead to additional comorbidities.

Is Mitochondrial DNA Copy Number from Human Blood Associated with Iron Deposits in the Brain?

Iron overload is implicated in mitochondrial dysfunction. Some iron and mitochondria-related measures show sex differences. It is unclear whether mitochondrial DNA copy number (mtDNAcn) from blood associated with iron depositions in the brain or liver and whether the relationship differs by sex. In this population-based study, we find that among community-dwelling adults, lower mtDNAcn assessed in blood is associated with higher brain iron in basal ganglia and hippocampus and more liver fat, and not with brain volumes or liver iron. Interestingly, the association between mtDNAcn and brain iron in basal ganglia is prominent in men. Our observations lead to the hypothesis that mechanisms connecting mitochondrial dysfunction and iron overload may differ between brain and liver and differ by sex.

Does physical activity moderate the association between shorter leukocyte telomere length and incident coronary heart disease? Data from 54,180 UK Biobank participants.

Telomere shortening is a biological aging hallmark. The effect of short telomere length may be targeted by increased physical activity to reduce the risk of multiple aging-related diseases, including coronary heart disease (CHD). The objective was to assess the moderation effect of accelerometer-based physical activity (aPA) on the association between shorter leukocyte telomere length (LTL) relatively in the population sample and incident CHD. Data were from the UK Biobank participants with well-calibrated accelerometer data for at least 6.5 days (n = 54,180). Relative mean LTL at baseline (5-6 years prior to aPA assessment) was measured in T/S ratio, using a multiplex quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) technology, by comparing the amount of the telomere amplification product (T) to that of a single-copy gene (S). aPA measures included total number of events (at least 10-s continued physical activity > 32 milligravities [mg]), total volume, mean duration, mean intensity, and peak intensity of all events. LTL, aPA measures, and their interactions were associated with incident CHD (mean follow-up 6.8 years) using Cox proportional hazards models adjusting for covariates. Longer LTL (relative to the sample distribution) was associated with reduced incidence of CHD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 0.94 per standard deviation [SD] increase in LTL, [95% CI, 0.90 to 0.99], P = .010). Incidence of CHD was reduced by higher total volume of aPA (aHR = 0.82 per SD increase in LTL, [95% CI, 0.71 to 0.95], P = .010) but increased by higher total number of events (aHR = 1.11 per SD increase in LTL, [95% CI, 1.02 to 1.21], P = .020) after controlling for other aPA measures and covariates. However, none of the interactions between LTL and aPA measures was statistically significant (P = .171).

Hemochromatosis Genetic Variants and Musculoskeletal Outcomes: 11.5-Year Follow-Up in the UK Biobank Cohort Study.

The iron overload disorder hemochromatosis is primarily caused by the homozygous HFE p.C282Y variant, but the scale of excess related musculoskeletal morbidity is uncertain. We estimated hemochromatosis-genotype associations with clinically diagnosed musculoskeletal outcomes and joint replacement surgeries in the UK Biobank community cohort. A total of 451,143 European ancestry participants (40 to 70 years at baseline) were followed in hospital records (mean 11.5-years). Cox proportional hazards models estimated HFE p.C282Y and p.H63D associations with incident outcomes. Male p.C282Y homozygotes (n = 1294) had increased incidence of osteoarthritis (n = 52, hazard ratio [HR]: 2.12 [95% confidence interval, CI: 1.61 to 2.80]; p = 8.8 × 10-8), hip replacement (n = 88, HR: 1.84 [95% CI: 1.49 to 2.27]; p = 1.6 × 10-8), knee replacement (n = 61, HR: 1.54 [95% CI: 1.20 to 1.98]; p = 8.4 × 10-4), and ankle and shoulder replacement, compared to males with no HFE mutations. Cumulative incidence analysis, using Kaplan-Meier lifetable probabilities demonstrated 10.4% of male homozygotes were projected to develop osteoarthritis and 15.5% to have hip replacements by age 75, versus 5.0% and 8.7% respectively without mutations. Male p.C282Y homozygotes also had increased incidence of femoral fractures (n = 15, HR: 1.72 [95% CI: 1.03 to 2.87]; p = 0.04) and osteoporosis (n = 21, HR: 1.71 [95% CI: 1.11 to 2.64]; p = 0.02), although the latter association was limited to those with liver fibrosis/cirrhosis diagnoses. Female p.C282Y homozygotes had increased incidence of osteoarthritis only (n = 57, HR: 1.46, [95% CI: 1.12 to 1.89]; p = 0.01). Male p.C282Y/p.H63D compound heterozygotes experienced a modest increased risk of hip replacements (n = 234, HR: 1.17 [95% CI: 1.02 to 1.33], p = 0.02), but this did not pass multiple testing corrections. In this large community cohort, the p.C282Y homozygote genotype was associated with substantial excess musculoskeletal morbidity in males. Wider HFE genotype testing may be justified, including in orthopedic clinics serving higher HFE variant prevalence populations. © 2023 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Association between Residential Exposure to Air Pollution and Incident Coronary Heart Disease Is Not Mediated by Leukocyte Telomere Length: A UK Biobank Study.

Higher air pollution exposure and shorter leukocyte telomere length (LTL) are both associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD), and share plausible mechanisms, including inflammation. LTL may serve as a biomarker of air pollution exposure and may be intervened with to reduce the risk of CHD. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to test the mediation effect of LTL in the relationship between air pollution exposure and incident CHD. Using the UK Biobank (UKB) data (n = 317,601), we conducted a prospective study linking residential air pollution exposure (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, NOx) and LTL to incident CHD during a mean follow-up of 12.6 years. Cox proportional hazards models and generalized additive models with penalized spline functions were used to model the associations of pollutant concentrations and LTL with incident CHD. We found non-linear associations of air pollution exposure with LTL and CHD. Pollutant concentrations in the lower range were decreasingly associated with longer LTL and reduced risk of CHD. The associations between lower pollutant concentrations and reduced risk of CHD, however, were minimally mediated by LTL (<3%). Our findings suggest that air pollution influences CHD through pathways that do not involve LTL. Replication is needed with improved measurements of air pollution that more accurately assesses personal exposure.

Mid-life leukocyte telomere length and dementia risk: An observational and mendelian randomization study of 435,046 UK Biobank participants.

Telomere attrition is one of biological aging hallmarks and may be intervened to target multiple aging-related diseases, including Alzheimer's disease and Alzheimer's disease related dementias (AD/ADRD). The objective of this study was to assess associations of leukocyte telomere length (TL) with AD/ADRD and early markers of AD/ADRD, including cognitive performance and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) phenotypes. Data from European-ancestry participants in the UK Biobank (n = 435,046) were used to evaluate whether mid-life leukocyte TL is associated with incident AD/ADRD over a mean follow-up of 12.2 years. In a subsample without AD/ADRD and with brain imaging data (n = 43,390), we associated TL with brain MRI phenotypes related to AD or vascular dementia pathology. Longer TL was associated with a lower risk of incident AD/ADRD (adjusted Hazard Ratio [aHR] per SD = 0.93, 95% CI 0.90-0.96, p = 3.37 × 10-7 ). Longer TL also was associated with better cognitive performance in specific cognitive domains, larger hippocampus volume, lower total volume of white matter hyperintensities, and higher fractional anisotropy and lower mean diffusivity in the fornix. In conclusion, longer TL is inversely associated with AD/ADRD, cognitive impairment, and brain structural lesions toward the development of AD/ADRD. However, the relationships between genetically determined TL and the outcomes above were not statistically significant based on the results from Mendelian randomization analysis results. Our findings add to the literature of prioritizing risk for AD/ADRD. The causality needs to be ascertained in mechanistic studies.

Very Low and High Levels of Vitamin D Are Associated with Shorter Leukocyte Telomere Length in 148,321 UK Biobank Participants.

Background: Shorter leukocyte telomere length (LTL) is observed in multiple age-related diseases, which are also associated with vitamin D deficiency (i.e., osteosarcopenia, neurocognitive disorders, cancer, osteoarthritis, etc.), suggesting a close association between vitamin D and LTL. In this study, we examined the relationship between vitamin D levels and LTL in older participants of the UK Biobank. Methods: Data were collected from the UK Biobank. Participants aged 60 and older (n = 148,321) were included. Baseline LTL was measured using a multiplex qPCR technique and expressed as the ratio of the telomere amplification product (T) to that of a single-copy gene (S) (T/S ratio). Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) was stratified by z score and linked to LTL in a linear regression model adjusting for covariates. Results: Compared to the medium level, a low (in the range of 16.6 nmol/L, 29.7 nmol/L) or extremely low (≤16.6 nmol/L) level of serum 25OHD was associated with shorter LTL: 0.018 SD (standardized ß = -0.018, 95% CI -0.033 to -0.003, p = 0.022) and 0.048 SD (standardized ß = -0.048, 95% CI -0.083 to -0.014, p = 0.006), respectively. Additionally, the high serum 25OHD groups (>95.9 nmol/L) had 0.038 SD (standardized ß = -0.038, 95% CI -0.072 to -0.004, p = 0.030) shorter mean LTL than the group with medium 25OHD levels. The associations above were adjusted for multiple variables. Conclusions: In this population-based study, we identified an inverted U-shape relationship between LTL and vitamin D status. Our findings could be affected by unmeasured confounders. Whether high or low vitamin D-associated shorter LTL is mechanistically related to age-related conditions remains to be elucidated.

Calcium-channel blockers: Clinical outcome associations with reported pharmacogenetics variants in 32 000 patients.

AIMS: Pharmacogenetic variants impact dihydropyridine calcium-channel blockers (dCCBs; e.g., amlodipine) treatment efficacy, yet evidence on clinical outcomes in routine primary care is limited. Reported associations in pharmacogenomics knowledge base PharmGKB have weak supporting evidence. We aimed to estimate associations between reported pharmacogenetic variants and incident adverse events in a community-based cohort prescribed dCCB. METHODS: We analysed up to 32 360 UK Biobank participants prescribed dCCB in primary care (from UK general practices, 1990-2017). We investigated 23 genetic variants. Outcomes were incident diagnosis of coronary heart disease, heart failure (HF), chronic kidney disease, oedema and switching antihypertensive medication. RESULTS: Participants were aged 40-79 years at first dCCB prescription. Carriers of rs877087 T allele in RYR3 had increased risk of hazard ratio (HF 1.13: 95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.25, P = .02). Although nonsignificant after multiple testing correction, the association is consistent with prior evidence. We estimated that if rs877087 T allele could experience the same treatment effect as noncarriers, the incidence of HF in patients prescribed dCCB would reduce by 9.2% (95% confidence interval 3.1 to 15.4). In patients with a history of heart disease prior to dCCB (n = 2296), rs877087 homozygotes had increased risk of new coronary heart disease or HF compared to CC variant. rs10898815 in NUMA1 and rs776746 in CYP3A5 increased likelihood of switching to an alternative antihypertensive. The remaining variants were not strongly or consistently associated with studied outcomes. CONCLUSION: Patients with common genetic variants in NUMA1, CYP3A5 and RYR3 had increased adverse clinical outcomes. Work is needed to establish whether outcomes of dCCB prescribing could be improved by prior knowledge of pharmacogenetics variants supported by clinical evidence of association with adverse events.

Genomics and multimorbidity.

Multimorbidity has increased in prevalence world-wide. It is anticipated to affect over 1 in 6 of the UK population by 2035 and is now recognised as a global priority for health research. Genomic medicine has rapidly advanced over the last 20 years from the first sequencing of the human genome to integration into clinical care for rarer conditions. Genetic studies help identify new disease mechanisms as they are less susceptible to the bias and confounding that affects epidemiological studies, as genetics are assigned from conception. There is also genetic variation in the efficacy of medications and the risk of side effects, pharmacogenetics. Genomic approaches offer the potential to improve our understanding of mechanisms underpinning multiple long-term conditions/multimorbidity and guide precision approaches to risk, diagnosis and optimisation of management. In this commentary as part of the Age and Ageing 50th anniversary commentary series, we summarise genomics and the potential utility of genomics in multimorbidity.

Heavy-load exercise in older adults activates vasculogenesis and has a stronger impact on muscle gene expression than in young adults.

BACKGROUND: A striking effect of old age is the involuntary loss of muscle mass and strength leading to sarcopenia and reduced physiological functions. However, effects of heavy-load exercise in older adults on diseases and functions as predicted by changes in muscle gene expression have been inadequately studied. METHODS: Thigh muscle global transcriptional activity (transcriptome) was analyzed in cohorts of older and younger adults before and after 12-13 weeks heavy-load strength exercise using Affymetrix microarrays. Three age groups, similarly trained, were compared: younger adults (age 24 ± 4 years), older adults of average age 70 years (Oslo cohort) and above 80 years (old BSU cohort). To increase statistical strength, one of the older cohorts was used for validation. Ingenuity Pathway analysis (IPA) was used to identify predicted biological effects of a gene set that changed expression after exercise, and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used to visualize differences in muscle gene expressen between cohorts and individual participants as well as overall changes upon exercise. RESULTS: Younger adults, showed few transcriptome changes, but a marked, significant impact was observed in persons of average age 70 years and even more so in persons above 80 years. The 249 transcripts positively or negatively altered in both cohorts of older adults (q-value < 0.1) were submitted to gene set enrichment analysis using IPA. The transcripts predicted increase in several aspects of "vascularization and muscle contractions", whereas functions associated with negative health effects were reduced, e.g., "Glucose metabolism disorder" and "Disorder of blood pressure". Several genes that changed expression after intervention were confirmed at the genome level by containing single nucleotide variants associated with handgrip strength and muscle expression levels, e.g., CYP4B1 (p = 9.2E-20), NOTCH4 (p = 9.7E-8), and FZD4 (p = 5.3E-7). PCA of the 249 genes indicated a differential pattern of muscle gene expression in young and elderly. However, after exercise the expression patterns in both young and old BSU cohorts were changed in the same direction for the vast majority of participants. CONCLUSIONS: The positive impact of heavy-load strength training on the transcriptome increased markedly with age. The identified molecular changes translate to improved vascularization and muscular strength, suggesting highly beneficial health effects for older adults.

Hereditary Hemochromatosis Variant Associations with Incident Nonliver Malignancies: 11-Year Follow-up in UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: In European ancestry populations, iron overload disorder hereditary hemochromatosis is predominantly caused by HFE p.C282Y and p.H63D mutations. Male p.C282Y homozygotes have markedly increased hepatic malignancy incidence, but risks for other cancers in male and female homozygotes are unclear. METHODS: 451,143 UK Biobank European ancestry participants (aged 40-70 years; 54.3% female) were followed (mean 11.6 years) via hospital admissions and national cancer registries. We estimated risks of any incident cancer (other than nonmelanoma and liver cancer) and common incident cancers [bladder, blood (with subanalyses of leukemia and lymphoma), bone, brain, breast, colorectal, kidney, lung, melanoma, esophageal, ovarian, pancreatic, prostate and stomach] in those with p.C282Y and p.H63D genotypes, compared with participants without HFE mutations. RESULTS: Male p.C282Y homozygotes (n = 2,890, 12.1% with baseline diagnosed hereditary hemochromatosis) had increased incidence of prostate cancer [6.8% vs. 5.4% without mutations; HR = 1.32; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-1.63; P = 0.01; Bonferroni adjusted P = 0.17] during follow-up. In life table estimates from ages 40 to 75 years, 14.4% of male p.C282Y homozygotes are projected to develop prostate cancer (versus 10.7% without mutations, excess 3.8%; 95% CI, 1.3-6.8). No increases in risks were found for other studied cancers in male or female p.C282Y homozygotes, or in any other p.C282Y/p.H63D genotype groups of either sex. CONCLUSIONS: In a large community sample of male p.C282Y homozygotes, there is suggestive evidence of increased prostate cancer incidence, with no evidence of excess of other studied (nonliver) cancers. IMPACT: Replication of results in other large community genotyped cohorts are needed to confirm if clinical monitoring for prostate cancer is necessary in p.C282Y homozygous males.

Genetic modifiers of penetrance to liver endpoints in HFE hemochromatosis: Associations in a large community cohort.

BACKGROUND: The iron overload condition hereditary hemochromatosis (HH) can cause liver cirrhosis and cancer, diabetes, and arthritis. Males homozygous for the p.C282Y missense mutation in the Homeostatin Iron Regulator (HFE) gene have greatest risk; yet, only a minority develop these conditions. We aimed to determine whether common genetic variants influencing iron levels or liver disease risk in the general population also modify clinical penetrance in HFE p.C282Y and p.H63D carriers. METHODS: We studied 1294 male and 1596 female UK Biobank HFE p.C282Y homozygous participants of European ancestry with medical records up to 14 years after baseline assessment. Polygenic scores quantified genetic effects of blood iron biomarkers and relevant diseases (identified in the general population). Analyses were also performed in other HFE p.C282Y/p.H63D genotype groups. RESULTS: In male p.C282Y homozygotes, a higher iron polygenic score increased the risk of liver fibrosis or cirrhosis diagnoses (odds ratio for the top 20% of iron polygenic score vs. the bottom 20% = 4.90: 95% confidence intervals, 1.63-14.73; p = 0.005), liver cancer, and osteoarthritis but not diabetes. A liver cirrhosis polygenic score was associated with liver cancer diagnoses. In female p.C282Y homozygotes, the osteoarthritis polygenic score was associated with increased osteoarthritis diagnoses and type-2 diabetes polygenic score with diabetes. However, the iron polygenic score was not robustly associated with diagnoses in p.C282Y female homozygotes or in other p.C282Y/p.H63D genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: HFE p.C282Y homozygote penetrance to clinical disease in a large community cohort was partly explained by common genetic variants that influence iron and risks of related diagnoses in the general population, including polygenic scores in HH screening and diagnosis, may help in estimating prognosis and treatment planning.

Statin treatment effectiveness and the SLCO1B1*5 reduced function genotype: Long-term outcomes in women and men.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effect of rs4149056 (SLCO1B1*5) genotype (decreases statin transport) on cholesterol control and treatment duration in male and female primary care patients prescribed common statin medications. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This study comprised 69 185 European-ancestry UK Biobank cohort participants prescribed simvastatin or atorvastatin (aged 40-79 years at first prescription, treatment duration 1 month to 29 years, mean 5.7 years). Principal outcomes were clinically high total cholesterol (>5 mmol/L) at baseline, plus treatment discontinuation. RESULTS: A total of 48.4% of 591 females homozygous for SLCO1B1*5 decreased function genotype had raised cholesterol vs 41.7% of those with functioning SLCO1B1 (odds ratio 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-1.55, P = .001). Fewer males had high cholesterol and the genotype effect was attenuated. In primary care prescribing, females homozygous for SLCO1B1*5 were more likely to stop receiving these statins (29.5%) than women with normal SLCO1B1 (25.7%) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.19, 95% CI 1.03-1.37, P = .01), amounting to five discontinuations per 100 statin-years in the SLCO1B1*5 group vs four in the normal SLCO1B1 function group. This remained significant after the first year of treatment (HR for discontinuing >1 year after first prescription 1.3, 95% CI 1.08-1.56, P = .006). In men SLCO1B1*5 was only associated with treatment discontinuation in the first year. CONCLUSIONS: In this large community sample of patients on commonly prescribed statins, the SLCO1B1*5 decreased function variant had much larger effects on cholesterol control and treatment duration in women than in men. Efforts to improve the effectiveness of statin therapy in women may need to include SLCO1B1*5 genotype-guided statin selection.

Analysis of CYP2C19 genetic variants with ischaemic events in UK patients prescribed clopidogrel in primary care: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether CYP2C19 loss-of-function (LoF) alleles increase risk of ischaemic stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) in UK primary care patients prescribed clopidogrel. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort analysis. SETTING: Primary care practices in the UK from January 1999 to September 2017. PARTICIPANTS: 7483 European-ancestry adults from the UK Biobank study with genetic and linked primary care data, aged 36-79 years at time of first clopidogrel prescription. INTERVENTIONS: Clopidogrel prescription in primary care, mean duration 2.6 years (range 2 months to 18 years). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Hospital inpatient-diagnosed ischaemic stroke, MI or angina while treated with clopidogrel. RESULTS: 28.7% of participants carried at least one CYP2C19 LoF variant. LoF carriers had higher rates of incident ischaemic stroke while treated with clopidogrel compared with those without the variants (8 per 1000 person-years vs 5.2 per 1000 person-years; HR 1.53, 95% CIs 1.04 to 2.26, p=0.031). LoF carriers also had increased risk of MI (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.26, p=0.008). In combined analysis LoF carriers had increased risk of any ischaemic event (stroke or MI) (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.29, p=0.002). Adjustment for aspirin coprescription produced similar estimates. In lifetables using observed incidence rates, 22.5% (95% CI 14.4% to 34.0%) of CYP2C19 LoF carriers on clopidogrel were projected to develop an ischaemic stroke by age 79 (oldest age in the study), compared with 15.4% (95% CI 11.4% to 20.5%) in non-carriers, that is, 7.1% excess stroke incidence in LoF carriers by age 79. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial proportion of the UK population carry genetic variants that reduce metabolism of clopidogrel to its active form. In family practice patients on clopidogrel, CYP2C19 LoF variants are associated with substantially higher incidence of ischaemic events. Genotype-guided selection of antiplatelet medications may improve outcomes in patients carrying CYP2C19 genetic variants.

The Triangulation WIthin a STudy (TWIST) framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research.

In this paper we review the methodological underpinnings of the general pharmacogenetic approach for uncovering genetically-driven treatment effect heterogeneity. This typically utilises only individuals who are treated and relies on fairly strong baseline assumptions to estimate what we term the 'genetically moderated treatment effect' (GMTE). When these assumptions are seriously violated, we show that a robust but less efficient estimate of the GMTE that incorporates information on the population of untreated individuals can instead be used. In cases of partial violation, we clarify when Mendelian randomization and a modified confounder adjustment method can also yield consistent estimates for the GMTE. A decision framework is then described to decide when a particular estimation strategy is most appropriate and how specific estimators can be combined to further improve efficiency. Triangulation of evidence from different data sources, each with their inherent biases and limitations, is becoming a well established principle for strengthening causal analysis. We call our framework 'Triangulation WIthin a STudy' (TWIST)' in order to emphasise that an analysis in this spirit is also possible within a single data set, using causal estimates that are approximately uncorrelated, but reliant on different sets of assumptions. We illustrate these approaches by re-analysing primary-care-linked UK Biobank data relating to CYP2C19 genetic variants, Clopidogrel use and stroke risk, and data relating to APOE genetic variants, statin use and Coronary Artery Disease.